Friday, November 27, 2009

Sarah Palin-Fooled Again

Thursday, November 26, 2009

Wednesday, November 25, 2009

Ford considers U.S. Senate run in New York

I highly doubt this will happen but it's out there so I guess I will write about. There are reports that former Tennessee Congressman Harold Ford who ran unsuccessfully for the U.S. Senate in 2006 could be a candidate for the Senate in '10in New York. Ford is currently teaching at the Wagner School in New York City and according to Democratic sources "has been talking about the possibility of taking on Gillibrand".

Ford is a conservative Democrat unknown in NY and would never defeat Gillibrand. This is like 2001 when Bob Kerrey considered running for Mayor of New York City, these guys cannot win in New York City.

New York Senator faces tough fight

As I reported a few days ago, I will blog again, NY Senator Kirsten Gillibrand is in for one hell of a fight against Rudy Giuliani.

According to a Zogby poll Giuliani leads Gillibrand, 45% to 43%. Gillibrand leads former New York Governor George Pataki, 43% to 38%.

Giuliani leads Pataki in a GOP primary, 72% to 28%.

Gillibrand will have a tough fight and she needs to raise money and start traveling into the city. She needs to get the African American vote solidly in her corner by exposing Giuliani's record as Mayor. Appearing with the President in NY would be a good idea and engaging actively in the health care debate would be a huge help to the freshman Senator.

Feingold leads Thompson in possible Senate race

Wisconsin Senator Russ Feingold leads potential Republican challenger and former Wisconsin Governor Tommy Thompson, 50% to 41%, according to a Public Policy Polling Survey.

According to Public Policy Polling the problem for Thompson is "Wisconsin voters don't really like him anymore. 45% have an unfavorable opinion of him while only 38% view him positively".

Feingold has faced other well financed formidable Republican challengers in the past and has always come out ahead. When Feingold ran for the U.S. Senate in 1992, he was an underfunded unknown state Senator from Middleton, Wisconsin and now he is one of the most respected progressives in the Senate. I encourage everyone to donate to Feingold for 2010 and get behind him. He is a great Senator and we need him in Washington.

Monday, November 23, 2009

Rubio seeks Palin endorsement

Sarah Palin will crisscross Florida next week as part of a book tour and Marco Rubio's U.S. Senate campaign says they would welcome an endorsement from the former 2008 Republican Vice Presidential candidate.

"There are a lot of things that Marco admires of her, there a lot of things that they agree on", Communications Director Alex Burgos said in a Fox News interview Saturday. "He'd be honored to have her support of him". Burgos said that both Palin and Rubio have comparable ideological positions and both have similar philosophies in their respective elected positions.

Palin has not made an endorsement in the Florida Senate race however a Palin endorsement for Rubio could doom Governor Crist's chances in the Senate primary.
As a Meek supporter, I am pulling for Rubio big time. Florida rejected McCain/Palin in 2008 and I am confident that Florida would reject Palin's choice in the Senate race. For Marco to compare himself to Palin is fine for a GOP primary but Marco forgets that he is going to be facing a state that went for Obama in 2008 if he wins the GOP nomination.

Pennsylvania Senate primary

Here's some commentary. Joe Sestak the Congressman everyone supported in 2006 and viewed as someone who could have an influential future in the Democratic party is running against Arlen Specter for the Democratic nomination for Senate. Problem is, Sestak is getting nasty, very nasty, to the point of being despicable.

Sestak made the decision earlier this year to challenge Specter for the Democratic nomination for the Senate, fine, Specter is my candidate but Sestak has the right to challenge him. However Sestak trying to tie Specter to former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin is over the top. Sestak has released a web video called "Going Rogue" which accuses Specter of campaigning hard for Palin during the 2008 Presidential campaign.

Let's clear the air. First off, Specter wasn't campaigning hard for Palin, he was campaigning for John McCain. McCain up until the 2008 election had been a fairly moderate Republican Senator and had a good working relationship with Specter. Secondly, comparing Specter to Palin is completely ludicrous. Palin is a right wing nut job who is taken seriously by the religious right wing and thats it. Specter on the other hand has long been a supporter of abortion rights, the environment, stem cell research and has proved to be a moderate in the Senate. As the Republican party has moved further to the left, Specter found himself more comfortable as a Democrat, he was a Democrat until 1965.

For Congressman Sestak to attempt to compare Arlen Specter to Sarah Palin just shows how desperate he is. Arlen Specter is no Sarah Palin. Arlen Specter is a well respected member of the Senate who deep down has no use for the neocons or evelengical right wing. Pennsylvania should condemn the type of campaign Sestak is running and get behind Specter who has served in the Senate since 1980.

Gillibrand faces tough fight in NY

Senator Kirsten Gillibrand is in for a political fight in 2010. First news reports have surfaced that Rudy Giuliani is planning to take on the New York Senator in 2010 as she runs for a full term in the Senate. Now reports are that just 25% of New Yorker's think Gillibrand is doing either an excellent or good job in office, and 12% believe she is performing poorly. Gillibrand's bigger concern should be that 24% of New York doesn't know how to rate her because they don't know her.

Gillibrand is very well known upstate but she is going to have to start getting known in the boroughs. She should be making trips to Manhattan, Queens, the Bronx, Staten Island and even Brooklyn especially if she is facing Giuliani. She is going to have to raise huge amounts of money and travel the city.

Giuliani is going to be the toughest political fight of her career and if she can pull it off, I think she could be a national candidate in 2016. It will be very interesting.

Sanford charged with ethics lapses

The South Carolina Ethics Commission has charged South Carolina Gov. Mark Sanford with 37 counts of breaking state ethics laws, according to The State.

"Those charges allege that, in 18 instances, Sanford authorized, approved or allowed the purchase of business class airfare so that he could travel to and within the continents of Europe, Asia and South America".

I would say any potential Sanford for President campaign is over and Sanford will not be on the GOP ticket for VP. I would also say that will damage GOP chances in SC in 2010.

Cuomo has $16 million for governor's race

Andrew Cuomo has raised $16 million for his campaign to run for New York Governor according to Bloomberg. Cuomo has also hired five professional fundraisers since January and has set a goal of raising $20 million by January 15th according to someone familiar with the Attorney General's plans.

"Twenty million dollars--that's the number that gets you in the door, and it will probably dwarf what Paterson has available", said Hank Sheinkopf who is a Manhattan based political consultant.

Here's my opinion. Paterson is not going to win a second term. Things get easier with Giuliani out but Lazio will still narrowly defeat him. Paterson just doesn't have the support. 2010 is a big year for Governors and state legislatures. 2011 state legislatures will redraw Congressional districts and Governors will sign off on those maps. Control of the NY Senate is going to be tight and the next Governor will have to either veto or approve the new redistricting map.

Republicans are going to play with McMahon's district in Staten Island and I am sure will try to redraw Owens dist in upstate if he is re-elected in '10. 2010 is going to be about redistricting in 2012.

Palin well liked by Iowa Republicans

Former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin could draw a lot of support in Iowa if she decides to seek the Republican nomination for President according to a new poll. The Des Moines Register Iowa poll finds that 68% of Iowa Republicans have a favorable view of Palin which could help the former governor if she decides to seek the Presidency in 2012.

Iowa Republicans are very conservative just as Iowa Democrats are very liberal. Iowa Republicans tend to go with the evelengical candidate. Keep in mind that Pat Robertson did well in Iowa in 1988. George W. Bush won Iowa in 2000 and Mike Huckabee captured the state in 2008. Huckabee continues to have a strong following in Iowa and will be a strong candidate in Iowa. Palin however could draw a lot of evelengical support and Iowa could be a Huckabee-Palin fight. That's fine, Palin will not survive after Iowa, she won't win New Hampshire and forget the Super Tuesday states however if Republicans are stupid enough to give Palin the nomination, then it guarantees a second term for the President.

Coakley leads in Massachusetts primary

Massachusetts Attorney General Martha Coakley is the clear favorite in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate in Massachusetts with only 16 days until the primary election. Nearly three quarters of likely voters have not decided who they will support.

Coakley leads with 43%, Congressman Mike Capuano has 22%, Steve Pagliuca has 15%, and Alan Khazei has 6%. The winner of the Democratic primary likely will take Ted Kennedy's seat in the Senate.

Coakley will most likely win the primary and will be a great Senator for Massachusetts. I hope she will rely on Senator Kerry and Congressman Frank for guidance as she settles into the DC transition.

Colorado Senator will risk seat for health care vote

Colorado U.S. Senator Mike Bennet was asked by CNN if he would vote for the health care reform bill even if it meant losing his seat in the Senate in November 2010. Bennet's reply "Yes".

Bennet was appointed to the Senate by Gov. Bill Owens to fill out the remainder of Interior Sec. Ken Salazar's Senate term. Bennet will face Colorado voters next fall for a full six year term.

It is refreshing to see a Senator finally standing on principle and not worrying about the polls back home. Bennet realizes we have to pass this bill and it's great to have him on board.

Saturday, November 21, 2009

"Ted is Watching Over Us"

Senate votes to advance health overhaul bill

From A.P.

Invoking the name of Edward M. Kennedy, Democrats united Saturday night to push historic health care legislation past a key Senate hurdle over the opposition of Republicans eager to inflict a punishing defeat on President Barack Obama. There was not a vote to spare.

The 60-39 vote cleared the way for a bruising, full-scale debate beginning after Thanksgiving on the legislation, which is designed to extend coverage to roughly 31 million who lack it, crack down on insurance company practices that deny or dilute benefits and curtail the growth of spending on medical care nationally. More.

Reid has the 60 votes to pass health care bill

Ahead of the health care vote, it appears as though Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid has the 60 votes needed to bring the health care plan to the floor of the Senate for debate. Mary Landrieu and Blanche Lincoln were said to be the two holdouts, CNN reports tonight that both are on board.

It will be interesting to see how Olympia Snowe votes tonight however I think we have the votes!!!!!

Friday, November 20, 2009

Governor Andrew Cuomo

According to new polls from Marist, Andrew Cuomo will be the next Governor of New York. In a primary race against NY Governor David Paterson, Cuomo leads 72% to 21%.

Matched up against Republican Rick Lazio, Cuomo leads 69% to 24%.

Cuomo is way ahead in the primary/general and unless he screws up or something comes out of the closet, he will be the next Governor of New York.

Health Care these Senators

Senator Ben Nelson from Nebraska announced tonight that he will vote to bring the health care reform bill to the Senate floor for a vote on Saturday evening. Good for you Sen. Nelson, your doing the right thing! With Nelson on board, attention is turning to four other Senator's as this critical vote approaches.

Sen. Blanche Lincoln of Arkansas who is up for re-election in 2010. She has told Reid how she will vote but has not made her intentions public. Her vote will be critical to her 2010 re-election campaign.

Sen. Mary Landrieu

Sen. Joe Lieberman-I think Lieberman will vote to bring the bill to the floor but will vote against it when it comes before the full Senate.

Sen. Olympia Snowe-She was the only Republican to vote the bill out of the Senate finance committee, shes opposed to the public option but I think she will vote to bring the bill to the floor.
Democratic donors should keep a close eye on Lincoln. Lincoln's GOP opponent is an unknown and hes polling in the high 30's. Lincoln will be calling donors for $$$$ soon, very soon, if she votes against this bill and blocks health care reform from being enacted, I say hang up on her when she calls. Landrieu is a conservative DEM, I have no use for her either way. Same with Liarman. Snowe has balls, I have been very impressed with her and I am hopeful that she will stand up to the GOP tomorrow night and vote for this bill and vote for the bill when it comes to the full Senate.

Thursday, November 19, 2009

Rubio gains ground on Crist in Florida Senate race

Former Florida House Speaker Marco Rubio is gaining ground on Governor Charlie Crist in the Florida Republican primary for U.S. Senate. A new poll has Crist leading Rubio, 47% to 33% with roughly 10 months until the Republican U.S. Senate primary.

According to the poll, Crist has lost 10% and Rubio has gained 33%.
If either one of them wins the Senate seat, God help Florida! I knew Crist when he was a state Senator from the Tampa area, he was always polite and friendly, I had nothing against him except he was a Republican. When I saw him embrace Obama and the stimulus package, I thought maybe he's coming around but now hes in the middle of a fight with Rubio for conservative votes and hes backing down from his support for Obama, very disappointing. Rubio is a protege of Jeb Bush and has Dick Armey behind him. No one likes taxes but the fact of the matter is you have to pay taxes to make government run and deliver services. These people will have low income and poor people paying 23% on milk with a national sales tax. They don't care about the poor or working class. Polls are showing that Kendrick Meek would narrowly defeat Rubio but would have a hard time against Crist. If Rubio beats Crist, I think Meek can win the seat. With Crist, the race will favor Crist but who knows.

Giuliani to run for U.S. Senate

The Daily News is reporting today that former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani will run for the U.S. Senate in New York in 2010. According to sources in NY, Giuliani has decided against running for Governor and will instead go for the Senate and if elected may run for President in 2012.

Giuliani spokespeople have declined to comment however New York Republican leader's say to be in favor of a Giuliani for Senate bid. Giuliani would face off against Democratic Kristen Gillibrand to fill out the remainder of Hillary Clinton's Senate term.
Giuliani's election to the Senate would be a disaster not only for New York, but for all of us! At least if Giuliani were Governor, New York would be stuck with him, if he goes to the Senate, we will all be affected by his votes. Gillibrand has to beat Giuliani and I am confident that the DNC and DSSC will make NY a top priority in 2010.

Tuesday, November 17, 2009

Cuomo putting together a team for New York Governor run

Andrew Cuomo will run for New York Governor, I have known that for months. The New York Times confirms that Cuomo is putting together a team for a NY gubernatorial run.

Cuomo wants a diverse ticket and is said to be interested in having Bill Thompson run as a candidate for state Comptroller. Thompson who was New York City's two term Comptroller lost a surprisingly close race against Mayor Bloomberg despite being outspent 14 to 1. Throwing his support behind a Thompson for state Comptroller bid could help Cuomo as he and NY Gov David Paterson battle it out for the nomination at the state party convention this summer. Thompson is said to be leaving his options open, considering a 2013 run for Mayor. Cuomo has strained relations with current Comptroller Thomas DiNapoli and having Thompson on the ticket would provide Cuomo with a strong ally.

A possible Lt. Gov running mate is Rochester Mayor Robert Duffy. I personally prefer Byron Brown, the African American Mayor of Buffalo and former state Senator. I think Brown would be a great addition to the ticket and a great Lt. Governor. I also like Malcolm Smith.

Cuomo is also said to be looking at who will replace him as Attorney General. Among names mentioned, Nassau County DA Kathleen Rice, Westchester DA Janet DiFiore and Denise O'Donnell who is a former federal prosecutor from Buffalo.

Alex Sink for Governor

A few weeks ago I wrote about Anthony Kennedy Shriver considering a run for the Democratic nomination for Florida Governor. Mr. Shriver, I respect your family and the commitment the Kennedy family has made to America, but sir, you need not apply. Alex Sink is my candidate for Governor.

Sink has proven that she is a true progressive and will lead all of Florida. This week Sink announced that she favors gay adoption and insurers covering abortion.

"We need a system in which all of our children are assured that they live in a healthy, loving home---a home that's determined not by any law". Florida currently prohibits gays and lesbians from adopting children.

I could not agree with Sink more on this issue. Judges should have the right to determine based on a case by case basis who is fit to raise a child. This decision should be taken out of the legislative branch and should be made in the best interests of the child, not the best interests of a legislator's political base.

I firmly believe as I always have that women, all women should have the right to choose and no woman should be denied that right because of lack of insurance or ability to pay. I commend Sink for taking the stand she has taken.

Alex Sink will be a great Governor for all of Florida.

Edwards wanted to be Attorney General

A new claim from David Plouffe's new book is that John Edwards team offered a secret deal before the South Carolina Democratic primary: Edwards would drop out of the race if he were made the Vice-Presidential nominee.

Senior Edwards advisor Joe Trippi disputes this claim however, saying that Edwards really wanted to be Attorney General.

The past is of course the past but for the record, I think Edwards would have a made a great Attorney General.

Ted Deutch for Congress

It appears as though that Palm Beach County state Senator Ted Deutch and Broward County Mayor Stacy Ritter will compete for the Democratic nomination for Robert Wexler's Florida seat in Congress. Wexler is leaving his District 19 Florida U.S. House seat in January to become President of the Center for Middle East Peace and Economic Cooperation.

Senator Ted Deutch is the logical choice to succeed Wexler in the House. Deutch is a state legislator who has the endorsements of Congressmen Wexler, Klein, Hastings and Congresswoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz. Deutch will be a great working partner with Klein, Hastings and Wasserman Schultz and will be a great ally for Speaker Pelosi in the House.

Deutch is committed to affordable health care, a living wage, and a secure retirement for all Americans. Ted will be great in Congress and will be a great ally for President Obama and Speaker Pelosi.

Sunday, November 15, 2009

How The U.S. Funds The Taliban

Jefferson goes to prison

Former Congressman Bill Jefferson a Democrat from Louisiana has been sentenced to 13 years in prison.

Jefferson was convicted in August of accepting bribes, wire fraud, money laundering and racketeering. Jefferson is known as the guy who has $90k in his freezer. This is the longest prison sentence handed down to a member of Congress.

Friday, November 6, 2009

Kennedy clan member looks at run for Florida Governor

The rumor mill in Florida is that Anthony Kennedy Shriver, the son of Sargent and Eunice Shriver, nephew of President Kennedy and grandson of Ambassador Joe Kennedy, is seriously considering a run for the Democratic nomination for Governor of Florida.

The Miami Beach resident leads Best Buddies International which is a charity that helps intellectually disabled people.

As for Shriver running, I will believe it when I see it, he has considered run's for Governor and Mayor of Miami Beach in the past. A Sink-Shriver gubernatorial primary will be very interesting.

Pataki is headed to Iowa

Thought former New York Governor George Pataki was going to run for the U.S. Senate against Kristen Gillibrand? Think again! Pataki is headed to Iowa to explore a run for the 2012 Republican nomination for President.

Pataki will be 67 in 2012, too old to serve a term or two in the Senate and then make a Presidential run so it appears as though that the former three term New York Governor is just going to aim for the White House.

Pataki is due in Iowa later this month. 2012 will be very interesting.

Thursday, November 5, 2009

Yankees Win-Mo Rules

Wednesday, November 4, 2009

Owens becomes first Democrat to win upstate NY House seat in more then 100 years

In New York Congressional District 23 Democrat Bill Owens pulled off an upset against Conservative candidate Doug Hoffman. Owens beat Hoffman, 49% to 45%, well not an upset but if your a Democrat in Washington it was an upset. Democrat's have not had this seat in 100 years and Hoffman with strong support from Republicans around the country was expected to pull off a win. Independents broke for Owens and helped the Democrat win. It's a huge win for Democrats however I expect 2010 to be hotly contested. Republicans will want this seat back and Democrats will fight to hold onto it. I expect a Hoffman-Owens race in 2010 and I expect both parties to spend heavily in this race.

Hoffman has indicated that he might run as a Republican for the seat in 2010. I rate the seat as tossup for 2010.

Republicans elected Governor in Virginia and New Jersey

Virginia is no surprise. Bob McDonnell the Republican Attorney General had been leading Democratic state Senator Creigh Deeds the Democratic candidate for weeks. There was hope, Virginia has two Democratic U.S. Senator's and voted for Obama in 2008, the first time a Democrat won the state in a presidential election since 1964. However Bob McDonnell ran a great campaign, a lot of people in Virginia are worried about jobs and the economy and health care, well whats going on with health care? Put it all together and you've got a GOP victory in every statewide race in Virginia. For the first time since 2001, Virginia has a Republican governor. Deeds wasn't a strong candidate, Brian Moran probably would have been stronger but oh well, 2013 is not far off. Who knows maybe Mark Warner will get tired of Washington and think about running for governor again? Doubtful, Warner is running for President in 2016. Maybe Democrats in Virginia will pull another winning candidate out of the hat like they did in 2001 with Warner and 2005 with Kaine. Hey, Tim Kaine, want to run for Governor in 2013? Who knows!

Now New Jersey is a shocker. I've never lived in New Jersey but I know New Jersey is a solid Democratic state. Christie Whitman won the governor's race in 1993 and was narrowly re-elected in '97. In 2001 the state put Jim McGreevey in the Governor's Mansion and well you know what happened with him. Jon Corzine who spent $60 million to win a Senate seat in 2000 came home, ran for Governor and won. Polls showed that the race would be close but honestly I expected the ex Goldman Sachs Chief to pull it off. The state has two Democratic U.S. Senator's and Republican Presidential candidates don't even bother with New Jersey in the final weeks, its a Democratic state!! So what happened last night? Taxes, Taxes, Taxes!!! Voter's liked Corzine four years ago. New Jersey was in a financial mess. Corzine was a powerhouse at one of the largest investment banks on Wall Street, a U.S. Senator however the Governor was unable to deliver on his promises to control spending and lower property taxes. The state income tax rose, New Jersey depends on wealthy resident's to pay more in taxes, well a lot of those wealthy resident's took a huge loss with their own investments and loss of jobs and it became difficult to manage New Jersey finances. Put it all together and New Jersey showed Jon Corzine the door last night. Bob Menendez to save the day in 2013??? Perhaps Frank Pallone? We shall see!

Bloomberg re-elected, Democrats look to 2013

Mike Bloomberg was re-elected Mayor of New York City last night, I wasn't surprised. Bloomberg won by 4%, I am shocked! I truly expected Bloomberg to win in a landslide. He spent close to $100 million on his re-election campaign, the President didn't really campaign against him and he's a two term Mayor. So why didn't he win by more?

Low turnout due to the fact that voter's are disgusted with politics in general and secondly voter's are disgusted with Bloomberg's move to repeal term limits and allow himself to seek a third term as the city's Mayor.

Mike Bloomberg's team expected a coronation, instead they got an election. Everyone wrote Thompson off, he didn't win, but hey, he came close and he had the audacity to take on Bloomberg, good for him!

As for 2013, well I think that race kicks into full gear next week. I fully expect Public Advocate de Blasio to run. Congressman Weiner will jump in. Comptroller John Liu could get into the race and of course let's not forget Mark Green who it seems like can't function unless he is running for a political office. Eight years ago I would call Green a formidable candidate for Mayor, now he's just a perennial candidate, like the neighbor you try to ignore but just won't go away. 2013 will be very interesting!