Thursday, January 31, 2008

Another day, another poll, another big endorsement

Man, it just get's better and better if your Barack Obama. Obama has Caroline Kennedy traveling the country with him. Senator Ted Kennedy is backing him. Now Former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker has endorsed Senator Barack Obama. The Wall Street Journal reports that Volcker is "the latest big name to endorse Sen. Barack Obama". Volcker could convince those in the financial world that Obama does have the experience to deal with an upcoming recession and global markets.

Now onto the polls. Gallup has one out and Senator Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama nationally by 4 points. The latest poll has Clinton at 43%, Obama at 39%. The lead is so narrow that this race could go either way.

Steny Hoyer predicts big gains for Democrats

According to CQ politics, House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer is expecting Democrat's to pick up 10 to 15 seats in the November 2008 election. Several House Republicans are not running for re-election in 2008. Virginia Congressman Tom Davis is the latest to announce he is leaving Congress and his northern Virginia House seat leans Democratic with Davis out.

Steny Hoyer said, "We're not taking anything for granted, but we're very optimistic."


McCain/Crist, its not exactly the ticket but it sure is the buzz around Florida. Governor Crist is doing nothing to dismiss the speculation. The Governor will appear with Senator McCain in New York City Monday night for a campaign fundraiser. The Governor then travels to three "Super Tuesday" states with McCain on Tuesday and ends the day with McCain in Phoneix, Arizona where the two will watch the results come in. Crist is the Governor of the fourth largest state in the nation. Young. Moderate. Energetic. Very popular in Florida. Also I have personaly known Crist since his days as a state Senator from St. Petersburg, he will not overshadow McCain at all. McCain/Crist is possible.

California is a deadheat

California is a big prize on Super Tuesday with 441 delegates at stake. A new Rasmussen Poll shows California is also a deadheat in the Democratic Primary.

Clinton 43%

Obama 40%

If Obama can win those Progressive districts in California he might be able to pull off a big win. A win in Illinois and California would seal the deal.

Super Tuesday state of Connecticut is a deadheat

Connecticut is a deadheat in the Democratic Presidential Primary according to a new Rasmussen Report.

Barack Obama 40%

Hillary Clinton 40%

61 delegates at stake and Connecticut is up for grabs.

The Georgia Democratic Presidential Primary

Georgia will vote on "Super Tuesday" and Rasmussen Report has a new poll.

Barack Obama 41%

Hillary Clinton 35%

Wednesday, January 30, 2008

Elizabeth Moynihan endorses Obama for President

Elizabeth B. Moynihan, the widow of former New York US Senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan has endorsed Barack Obama for the Democratic nomination for President. Mrs. Moynihan said in a statement sent to the Obama campaign:

"I know he would have become excited, as I have, to see Barack Obama rekindle hope in our young as he encourages them to participate in the political process, and I know Pat would approve, applaud and encourage me to join Caroline Kennedy in supporting Barack Obama's candidacy for the Democratic nomination for President of the United States".

A nice endorsement for Barack Obama.

Massachusetts is tight

The Democratic Presidential Primary in Massachusetts is close, very close. Rasmussen Reports has a new poll:

Hillary Clinton 43%

Barack Obama 37%

I guess the message is don't piss off the Kennedys.


"Democrats in 22 states across America go to the polls next Tuesday to pick between two presidential prospects: Sens. Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton. We urge them to choose Obama".

"Don't forget Senator Clinton's oft-contradictory policy stands: She voted for the War in Iraq, but now says it was a bad idea. She'd end it yesterday-but refuses to say how".

"Obama has the ability to inspire".

A New York paper backs Obama for President. It's not the NY Times but it's a New York paper.

A great quote from Ed Koch

"The beast is dead". --Former Mayor Ed Koch's reaction to the Rudy Giuliani's announcement that he will end his campaign for President

Jimmy Carter praises Barack Obama

Though he is not making a formal Presidential endorsement, former President Jimmy Carter "lavished praise on" Senator Barack Obama "during an interview at his home on Monday, though he won't formally endorse any candidate in the race for the Democratic nomination," reports the Wall Street Journal. Carter "compared Mr. Obama's speeches to those of Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr. and said he believed the candidate could carry some southern state if he becomes the nominee".

Obama is moving on up

With Super Tuesday less then a week away, Barack Obama is closing the gap with Hillary Clinton. In the Gallup tracking poll Barack Obama has narrowed the gap to just 6 percentage points. Gallup reports, "Obama's position has been strengthing on a day-by-day basis".

As the pundits said last night, the presumptive Republican nominee is McCain but for the Democrat's, it's too close to call.

Top Florida Edwards fundraiser backs Obama

John Edwards top money man in Florida is backing Barack Obama. Minutes before Edwards dropped out of the race Fort Lauderdale lawyer Mitchell Berger said, "I am going to be with Barack Obama". Berger is a former classmate of Al Gore and major Democratic fund raiser in Florida.

Barack Obama for President

With John Edwards exit from the Presidential race there is no doubt in my mind that Barack Obama is the right man to lead America and take office as the next President. Senator Obama has opposed this war from day one. Obama has fought for people his entire life as a community organizer, state Senator and US Senator. He is a man who can unite the country bring people together and close the economic and racial divide in our nation. I believe that Barack Obama will implement a plan that will guarantee health care for all Americans and turn the working poor into middle class. Most of all I believe that Barack Obama is the only candidate who will end this war. Barack Obama believes in peace. He believes in and has fought for social justice. He is a man of integrity. He is an honest man and I believe he will restore trust and leadership to the White House. For Progressive Democrats Barack Obama is the right choice. He will bring new leadership and new ideas to Washington. I support him strongly and believe he is ready to lead as President. Go Obama!

Edwards for Senate

I could not agree with my co-blogger more. John Edwards has brought attention to issues important to Main Street America to the political forefront. He has talked about poverty, ending the war, raising the minimum wage, health care and giving our government back to the people. I commend and applaud John for running.

The Presidential race is over but the fight is far from over. America remains divided. Some Americans support the war, some oppose the war. There is a huge economic divide separating rich and poor. For some there civil liberties and rights have been taken away from them. The fight to unite America and for "One America" continues.

John can continue the fight by returning to North Carolina and announcing his candidacy for the US Senate. I have no doubt that John will be a leading candidate for Attorney General in a Democratic administration but I believe he can do so much more in the Senate. John should take his populist agenda to the Senate where he can once again fight with Ted Kennedy for a Patients Bill of Rights and universal health care for all Americans. I believe that state Senator Kay Hagan would step aside if John were to enter the race and John would be able to defeat Elizabeth Dole.

I hear John is interested in the cabinet but we need him back in the Senate. Run, John, Run! An Edwards for Senate run is something I think every Democrat would unite behind.

Thank you.

Thank you John. You set the tone of the Demcratic primary. Hopefully your message will be carried on either by Obama or Clinton. How about a Senate run?

McCain wins Florida

John McCain pulled it off in a tight race for Florida's winner take all 57 delegates. Not only does McCain have 57 delegates, he has huge momentum heading into Super Tuesday. Of the Super Tuesday states McCain currently leads in New York, Arizona is a safe bet, he leads in California and has all but secured the Republican nomination for President. My guess is that if McCain wins big next Tuesday, the question Wednesday morning will be, "Who will be McCain's running mate"?

Rudy Giuliani ends Presidential campaign

Just as I predicted nearly a year ago, Rudy Giuliani will not be the Republican nominee for President. Just as I said, the Republican base of the party will not embrace a liberal Republican for President. Giuliani's campaign strategy in my opinion was a disaster. He should of never went to Iowa. He should of focused his time, resources and attention on New Hampshire and Michigan where Independents and Democrats can cross over and vote in the GOP primary. The biggest problem Giuliani had in my opinion is he didn't have an identity. With John McCain in the race, Giuliani could not present himself as the national security candidate. With Mitt Romney, he could not present himself as the economic candidate. Religious voters were never attracted to Giuliani. Without an identity or appeal, he never caught fire in the Republican Party. Giuliani will endorse McCain for President today in California. My guess is that a McCain administration would reward Giuliani with an Attorney General appointment. Anyone who knows the Giuliani record knows that would be a disaster.

Tuesday, January 29, 2008

FACT SHEET: Military record of John Sidney McCain III


Both McCain III’s father and grandfather were Admirals in the United States Navy. His father
Admiral John S. ”Junior” McCain was commander of U.S. forces in Europe - later commander of
American forces in Vietnam while McCain III was being held prisoner of war. His grandfather
John S. McCain, Sr. commanded naval aviation at the Battle of Okinawa in 1945.

McCain III, like his father and grandfather, also attended the United States Naval Academy.
McCain III finished near the bottom of his graduating class in 1958.

McCain III lost five U.S. Navy aircraft
1 - Student pilot McCain III lost jet number one in 1958 when he plunged into Corpus
Christi Bay while practicing landings.

2 - Pilot McCain III lost another plane two years later while he was deployed in the
Mediterranean. ”Flying too low over the Iberian Peninsula, he took out some power lines
which led to a spate of newspaper stories in which he was predictably identified as the
son of an admiral.

3 - Pilot McCain III lost number three in 1965 when he was returning from flying a Navy
trainer solo to Philadelphia for an Army-Navy football game. McCain III radioed, ”I’ve got
a flameout” and ejected at one thousand feet. The plane crashed to the ground and
McCain III floated to a deserted beach.

4 - Combat pilot McCain III lost his fourth on July 29, 1967, soon after he was assigned to
the USS Forrestal as an A-4 Skyhawk combat pilot. While waiting his turn for takeoff, an
accidently fired rocket slammed into McCain Jr’s. plane. He escaped from the burning
aircraft, but the explosions that followed killed 134 sailors, destroyed at least 20 aircraft,
and threatened to sink the ship.

5 - Combat pilot McCain III lost a fifth plane three months later (Oct. 26, 1967) during his
23rd mission over North Vietnam when he failed to avoid a surface-to-air missile. McCain
III ejected from the plane breaking both arms and a leg in the process and subsequently
parachuted into Truc Bach Lake near Hanoi. After being pulled from the lake by the North
Vietnamese, McCain III was bayoneted in his left foot and shoulder and struck by a rifle
butt. He was then transported to the Hoa Lo Prison, also known as the Hanoi Hilton.

1973 New York Daily News labeled POW McCain III a “PW Songbird”
On McCain III’s fourth day of being denied medical treatment, slapped, and threatened with
death by the communist (they were demanding military information in exchange for medical
treatment), McCain III broke and told his interrogator, ”O.K., I’ll give you military information if you
will take me to the hospital.” U.S. News and World Report, May 14, 1973 article written by former
POW John McCain.
It was then that the communist learned that McCain III’s father was Admiral John S. McCain,
the soon-to-be commander of all U.S. Forces in the Pacific. The Vietnamese rushed McCain III to
Gai Lam military hospital (U.S. government documents), a medical facility normally unavailable
for U.S. POWs.

By Nov. 9, 1967 (U.S. government documents) Hanoi press was quoting McCain III describing
his mission including the number of aircraft in his flight, information about rescue ships, and the
order of which U.S. attacks would take place.
While in still in North Vietnam’s military hospital, McCain III gave an interview to prominent
French television reporter Francois Chalais for a series titled Life in Hanoi. Chalais’ interview with
McCain III was aired in Europe.
Vietnamese doctors operated on McCain’s Leg in early December, 1967.
Six weeks after he was shot down, McCain was taken from the hospital and delivered to a
U.S. POW camp,
In May of 1968, McCain III allowed himself to be interviewed by two North Vietnamese
generals at separate times.” May 14, 1973 article written by former POW John McCain
In August 1968, other POWs learned for the first time that John McCain III had been taken
On June 5, 1969, the New York Daily News reported in a article headlined Reds Say PW
Songbird Is Pilot Son of Admiral, “ . . . Hanoi has aired a broadcast in which the pilot son of
United States Commander in the Pacific, Adm. John McCain, purportedly admits to having
bombed civilian targets in North Vietnam and praises medical treatment he has received since
being taken prisoner . . .” The Washington Post explained McCain III’s broadcast: “The English-
Language broadcast beamed at South Vietnam was one of a series using American prisoners. It
was in response to a plea by Defense Secretary Melvin S. Laird, May 19, that North Vietnam treat
prisoners according to the humanitarian standards set forth by the Geneva Convention.”
In 1970, McCain III agreed to an interview with Dr. Fernando Barral, a Spanish psychiatrist
who was living in Cuba at the time.
The meeting between Barral and McCain III (which was photographed by the Vietnamese)
took place away from the prison at the office of the Committee for Foreign Cultural Relations in
Hanoi (declassified government document). During the meeting, POW McCain sipped coffee and
ate oranges and cakes with the Cuban.
While talking with Barral, McCain III further seriously violated the military Code of Conduct by
failing to evade answering questions ”to the utmost of his ability” when he, according government
documents, helped Barral by answering questions in Spanish, a language McCain had learned in
school. The interview was published in the in January 1970.
McCain III was released from North Vietnam March 15, 1973
In 1993, during one of his many trips back to Hanoi, McCain asked the Vietnamese not to
make public any records they hold pertaining to returned U.S. POWs. McCain III claims, that
while a POW, he tried to kill himself.
McCain III was awarded “medals for valor” equal to nearly a medal-and-a-half for each
hour he spent in combat
For 23 combat missions (an estimated 20 hours over enemy territory), the U.S. Navy awarded
McCain III, the son of famous admirals, a Silver Star, a Legion of Merit for Valor, a Distinguished
Flying Cross, three Bronze Stars, two Commendation medals plus two Purple Hearts and a
dozen service medals.
“McCain had roughly 20 hours in combat,” explains Bill Bell, a veteran of Vietnam and former
chief of the U.S. Office for POW/MIA Affairs -- the first official U.S. representative in Vietnam
since the 1973 fall of Saigon.
“Since McCain got 28 medals,” Bell continued, “that equals to about a medal-and-a-half for
each hour he spent in combat. There were infantry guys -- grunts on the ground -- who had more
than 7,000 hours in combat and I can tell you that there were times and situations where I’m sure
a prison cell would have looked pretty good to them by comparison. The question really is how
many guys got that number of medals for not being shot down.”
For years, McCain has been an unchecked master at manipulating an overly friendly and
biased news media. The former POW turned Congressman, turned U.S. Senator, has managed
to gloss over his failures as a pilot and his collaborations with the enemy to become America’s
POW-hero presidential candidate.
For more information:

'Straight talk' from Senator McCain: More wars to come

McCain is obviously suffering from PTSD. This idiot is telling us there will be more wars which means we can count on him attacking Iran. Talk about Dr. Strangelove. He is three sheets to the wind. The frightening thing is that if he wins the nomination there are enough brain dead Americans to actually get him elected especially if Hillary is the Democratic nominee. If Obama gets the nomination he will need someone like Jim Webb to neutralise McCain's "experience" on national security. His experience is that he bombed and napalmed women and children from 25,000 feet in the sky. The man is a lunatic.

Edwards Response To The State Of The Union Address

Chapel Hill, North Carolina – Tonight, Senator John Edwards released the following statement in response to President Bush's State of the Union address:

"The president tonight renewed his call for an economic recovery plan. But the plan he and Congress have offered leaves out tens of millions of Americans who need help the most. This plan would take months to have any impact, and the people I meet everyday on the campaign trail do not have months to wait. These people are hurting now and need this help now. Over the past seven years, typical workers' paychecks have failed to keep up with inflation, millions of families are facing the loss of their homes to foreclosures, health insurance premiums have doubled, and families are spending $1,000 more a year on gasoline. The State of the Union may be interesting political theater, but until we find bold solutions to the challenges facing the country, we will be stuck with the same old small, Washington answers.

"And in the chamber of the House of Representatives where the president speaks, even though this Congress stopped listening to him a while ago, they will still applaud and cheer him. The truth is that Washington is out of touch with what's happening across the country. Between now and January of 2009, Democrats must stand up to this president, stand up for what's right, so he does not continue to forget about the middle class in this country."

Edwards eyes a brokered convention

From THE HILL By Alexander Bolton;

" Former Sen. John Edwards (D-N.C.) has his sights set on playing kingmaker at the Denver convention in August, one of his most senior campaign officials hinted Monday.
While dismissing suggestions that this implied Edwards had accepted he was out of contention for the nomination, Deputy Campaign Manager Jonathan Prince said the candidate would probably get enough delegates to play a decisive role in tipping the Democratic nomination under party rules.

Party insiders could also give Edwards the nomination at a brokered convention if they judged him more electable in a match-up against GOP front-runner Sen. John McCain (Ariz.). “At a brokered convention, all bets are off,” said Prince.
Prince told reporters in a conference call that in “a worst-case scenario” Edwards would control 20 to 25 percent of the Democratic delegates heading into the convention. He predicted that Sens. Barack Obama (Ill.) and Hillary Rodham Clinton (N.Y.) would each have 35 to 40 percent of the delegates, well short of half the 4,049 needed to win the nomination. " Read More.

Monday, January 28, 2008

Obama leads Clinton in Colorado

According to a poll Senator Obama narrowly leads in the Super Tuesday state of Colorado. A Denver Post poll in the state of Colorado shows Obama leading Senator Hillary Clinton 34% to 32%. John Edwards is a distant third with 17%.

The Denver Post reports "The poll showed 51 percent of Democrats see change as more important than experience--and the ability to bring change is a trait they overwhelmingly associate with the Illinois senator".

Colorado has 71 delegates and is the host state of the Democratic National Convention. It is also regarded as a key swing state in the November general election.

Sunday, January 27, 2008

McCain vs Romney in Florida

In the Sunshine State, it's McCain vs Romney. Both men are currently tied at 30% in this winner take all state with 57 delegates at stake. Florida also gives big momentum to the winner heading into Super Tuesday.

Mike Huckabee who seemed to be picking up momentum after his Iowa win and has the endorsement of the conservative state House Speaker is in third place with 14%.

Rudy Giuliani who has invested the bulk of his money and time in Florida is behind Huckabee in fourth with 13%. Giuliani skipped Iowa. Iowa is a conservative state, logical move. New Hampshire is a state where Independents can vote and Republicans tend to be a little more liberal, Giuliani could of possibly done well in NH. Michigan is another state where Independents can vote and he might of been able to finish second behind Romney. However the Giuliani strategy has been to bypass all of the early states and bet it all on Florida. Well Rudy, I don't know who gave you that strategy but you got screwed big time. Giuliani has spent so much time in Florida, hes trailing McCain in New York.

Now I can't blame the Mayor for spending so much time in Florida, after all its 74 degrees here, 39 in NY. On the other hand it appears as though the Mayor is getting a chilly reception in both states and that New York Times endorsement for McCain, OUCH!!!

Popular Kansas Governor to endorse Obama for President

It's going to be a busy week for the Governor of Kansas. Monday evening she delivers the Democratic response to the President's State of the Union Address. Tuesday or Wednesday she endorses the candidate who she hopes will deliver that address next year: Barack Obama.

Governor Kathleen Sebelius joins fellow Midwestern Governor Janet Napolitano and Midwestern Senator's Ben Nelson and Clarie McCaskill in endorsing Obama's candidacy for President. Kansas is a Super Tuesday state, a caucus with 40 delegates at stake.

Sebelius a 59 year old two term Governor is very interesting. She is pro-choice. Opposed to the death penalty. She vetoed a concealed carry weapons law that would allow citizens to carry concealed weapons even after receiving an FBI background check and state permit. You would think, a woman, opposed to the death penalty, pro choice, pro gun control, she must be a liberal Governor from New York or Massachusetts but no Sebelius is the popular Governor of Kansas and regarded as a moderate Democrat. This woman is sure to be on the short list for Vice President. If she doesn't get the VEEP slot, she will most certainly run for Sam Brownbacks US Senate seat in 2010 and could be a future Presidential contender, with my support, I might add.

Obama supporters see Edwards playing a role in administration

This is very interesting and worth reading. I found this article on Taegan Goddards Political Wire.

"Illinois Democrat's close to Sen. Barack Obama are quietly passing the word that John Edwards will be named Attorney General in an Obama administration," according to Robert Novak.

Edwards appointment as Attorney General "would please not only the union leaders supporting him for president but organized labor in general. The unions relish the prospect of an unequivocal labor partisan as the nation's top legal officer".

"In public debates, Obama and Edwards often seem to bond together in alliance against front-running Sen. Hillary Clinton. While running a poor third, Edwards could collect a substantial bag of delegates under the Democratic Party's proportional representation. Edwards then could try to turn his delegates over to Obama in the still unlikely event of a deadlocked Democratic National Convention".

Obama wins South Carolina big

Barack Obama scored a big win in South Carolina Saturday night taking 55% of the vote followed by Senator Hillary Clinton with 27% and former Senator and native son John Edwards who received 18%. An Obama win in South Carolina proves that this race is far from over. The race is wide open and is becoming a number's game with delegates being closely watched and counted. Clinton has 230 delegates, Obama has 152delegates and John Edwards has 61 delegates. While Edwards has yet to win a primary or caucus, he could play the role of kingmaker. In a close race for the nomination, Edwards delegates could decide the nominee for President. As of now four elections have taken place in the Democratic field, Clinton has won one primary, one caucus, Obama has won one caucus, one primary. The race is just beginning.

Senator Kennedy endorses Obama for President

The liberal lion from Massachusetts Senator Edward Kennedy is endorsing Barack Obama for President. Caroline Kennedy Schlossberg, the daughter of the late President John Kennedy has already endorsed Obama for President. "Sometimes it takes a while to recognize that someone has a special ability to get us to believe in ourselves...and imagine that together we can do great things," Kennedy Schlossberg wrote in the New York Times on Sunday. "Senator Obama is inspiring my children, my parents' grandchildren, with that sense of possibility", she wrote in an article titled, "A President Like my Father". A new poll in Massachusetts shows Clinton leading with 37%followed by 25% for Obama. With Kennedy's endorsement the states two Senator's, John Kerry and Edward Kennedy are now backing Obama for President. This could make a difference in Massachusetts. This is also a direct snub to the Clinton's who went out of their way to maintain a close relationship with the Kennedy's during Clinton's two terms in the White House. It should be interesting to see how much of an effect the endorsement from the dean of the liberal wing of the party will have.

Saturday, January 26, 2008

Bob Wills Breakdown +

Bob Wills was the King of Western Swing influencing scores of Country singers including Willie Nelson, Waylon Jennings and Merle Haggard.

C&L’s Top 100 Stand-up Comedians of All Time!

Check out Crooks and Liars list of the Top 100 Stand-up Comedians of All Time with links to videos of performances of each.

Friday, January 25, 2008

Martinez endorses McCain for President

Republican Florida US Senator Mel Martinez made his choice for President known today: Senator John McCain. With Florida's Republican Primary only three days away, the Martinez endorsement could make a difference especially with Cuban-American voter's who could play a key role in Florida's Republican primary.

With the Martinez endorsement I say the Florida Republican Primary on Tuesday leans McCain.

SurveyUSA: Final Poll Shows Obama Leading in South Carolina

From Taegan Goddard's Political Wire;

According to the final SurveyUSA tracking poll in South Carolina, Sen. Barack Obama is poised to win the Democratic primary. Obama lead with 43%, followed by Clinton at 30%, and Edwards at 24%. Key findings: Obama gets 3 of 4 black votes. Edwards and Clinton between them split 3 of 4 white votes.

the who - my generation

Firday Night Time for some rock and roll
the who live at the monterey international pop

John Edwards on Letterman's "Late Show"

Thursday, January 24, 2008

Frank Zappa on Crossfire -1986

I saw this video of Frank on crooks and liars and had to share it. This was 1986 and Frank predicted that we would become a fascist theocratic state. The discussion is about free speech. Frank destroys John Lofton. Frank was not only a brilliant musician and composer he was also simply brilliant. We lost him to soon. For a video of the mothers singing Plastic People see our music collection

Wednesday, January 23, 2008

Joan Baez - With God on Our Side (Live 1966)

Joan Baez sings "With God on Our Side" (by Bob Dylan) in Stockholm, 1966. I have admired Joan since the early 1960's. For almost 50 years and counting she has been using her immense talent to promote peace, justice and racial equality. She follows in the tradition of the Great Pete Seeger, both of whom risked their careers to do the right thing. They are true American Hero's.


New York Daily News By Mike Lupica " Eli Manning turns critics into converts "

Fleetwood Mac - Little lies

Appropriate, don't you think. Oh those sweet little lies by these war criminals.

False Pretenses

From The Center For Public Integrity;

Following 9/11, President Bush and seven top officials of his administration waged a carefully orchestrated campaign of misinformation about the threat posed by Saddam Hussein's Iraq.

Center Documents 935 False Statements By Top Administration Officials To Justify Iraq War

From Center for Public Integrity;

WASHINGTON, January 23, 2008 — Leading up to the five-year anniversary of the Iraq war, the Center for Public Integrity has released the first analysis of its kind, "Iraq – The War Card: Orchestrated Deception on the Path to War." This comprehensive examination of top Bush administration officials' statements over a two-year period shows how top officials galvanized public opinion in the run-up to the March 18, 2003 invasion of Iraq. The project's chronology provides a framework for examining how the administration's false statements led the country into the war in Iraq. The results of this analysis question the repeated assertions of Bush administration officials that they were merely the unwitting victims of bad intelligence.

Center founder Charles Lewis and researchers helping him write a forthcoming, new book, were instrumental in identifying 935 false statements by eight top administration officials that mentioned Iraq's possession of weapons of mass destruction, or links to Al Qaeda, on at least 532 separate occasions. The false statements included in the analysis were made by President Bush, Vice President Cheney, Secretary of State Colin Powell, National Security Adviser Condoleezza Rice, Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld, Deputy DefenseSecretary Paul Wolfowitz, and White House press secretaries Ari Fleisher and Scott McClellan.

"Today, the Center is releasing a remarkable report that squarely meets our mission, to produce original investigative journalism about significant public issues to make institutional power more transparent and accountable," said Executive Director Bill Buzenberg. "This is a report like no other, which calls into question more than 900 false statements that were the underpinnings of the administration's case for war."

Majerus abortion rights comment gets St. Louis bishop's attention


ST. LOUIS -- A Roman Catholic archbishop said Tuesday that he will ask officials of Saint Louis University to take "appropriate action" against its basketball coach, who said in a television interview that he supports abortion rights.

One of the game's winningest coaches, Rick Majerus made the comment at a weekend rally for Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Rodham Clinton.
St. Louis Archbishop Raymond Burke declined to say what the action against Majerus should be, saying that was a decision for the Jesuit university. But he said the coach is a leader and shouldn't support views in opposition to church teaching.

"I'm concerned that a leader at a Catholic university made these comments. It can lead Catholics astray," Burke said by telephone as he attended March for Life anti-abortion events in Washington. "I just believe that it's of the essence for people to understand as a Catholic you just cannot hold these beliefs."

Burke said he will seek to speak with university president Rev. Lawrence Biondi, or a representative, when he returns to St. Louis....

Burke set off a national debate in 2004 when he said he would deny Holy Communion to John Kerry, then the Democratic presidential nominee, because the Catholic Massachusetts senator supports abortion rights.

The archbishop resigned last year as board chairman for the Cardinal Glennon Children's Foundation because of a benefit-concert appearance by Sheryl Crow, a native Missourian who supports abortion rights and embryonic stem cell research.

This is so insane its almost funny. Burke is a total idiot and a prime example why religious leaders, if you can call him that, have no place in politics. Who gives a shit what a Basketball Coach thinks about abortion. For that matter who gives a shit what Burke thinks other than his brain dead followers. As Karl Marx said Religion is the opiate of the people. Burke should keep his mouth shut since every time he opens it he not only makes an ass of himself but demeans the Catholic Church. I wonder how many Priest molestation incidents he covered up. The man is a complete hypocrite and a disgrace to the Catholic Church.

Florida is tight

The Florida Republican Presidential Primary race is tight, very tight. A new poll has Senator John McCain leading with 25, former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani follows with 22%, Mitt Romney has 20%, and Mike Huckabee is at 18%. Florida is a winner take all primary. Giuliani has invested the bulk of his money and time in Florida and still trails McCain and leads Romney by 2%. The Giuliani strategy has been to write off early states, win Florida and then compete on Super Tuesday. It's a strategy that isn't going to work. As of now here in Florida, it's a McCain-Romney race, my guess is that McCain or Romney will win Florida and Giuliani will finish third. A third place finish maybe even fourth ends the Giuliani campaign. A Romney win here in Florida puts him back on track. McCain wins Florida and it's over. Florida is a closed primary state which gives Romney the edge if he can rally the conservative base. Florida is also a big military state which gives McCain an edge if they vote. As Florida goes on Tuesday, I think the Republican nomination goes.

Rendell to back Clinton

Pennsylvania Governor Ed Rendell announced today that he is supporting Senator Hillary Clinton in the Democratic Presidential Primary. My guess is that Rendell is lobbying for a cabinet position in a potential Clinton administration....Secretary of Transportation has been mentioned.

Tuesday, January 22, 2008

Martin Luther King III to John Edwards

January 20, 2008
The Honorable John E. Edwards
410 Market Street
Suite 400
Chapel Hill, NC 27516

Dear Senator Edwards:

It was good meeting with you yesterday and discussing my father’s legacy. On the day when the nation will honor my father, I wanted to follow up with a personal note.

There has been, and will continue to be, a lot of back and forth in the political arena over my father’s legacy. It is a commentary on the breadth and depth of his impact that so many people want to claim his legacy. I am concerned that we do not blur the lines and obscure the truth about what he stood for: speaking up for justice for those who have no voice.

I appreciate that on the major issues of health care, the environment, and the economy, you have framed the issues for what they are - a struggle for justice. And, you have almost single-handedly made poverty an issue in this election.

You know as well as anyone that the 37 million people living in poverty have no voice in our system. They don’t have lobbyists in Washington and they don’t get to go to lunch with members of Congress. Speaking up for them is not politically convenient. But, it is the right thing to do.

I am disturbed by how little attention the topic of economic justice has received during this campaign. I want to challenge all candidates to follow your lead, and speak up loudly and forcefully on the issue of economic justice in America.

From our conversation yesterday, I know this is personal for you. I know you know what it means to come from nothing. I know you know what it means to get the opportunities you need to build a better life. And, I know you know that injustice is alive and well in America, because millions of people will never get the same opportunities you had.

I believe that now, more than ever, we need a leader who wakes up every morning with the knowledge of that injustice in the forefront of their minds, and who knows that when we commit ourselves to a cause as a nation, we can make major strides in our own lifetimes. My father was not driven by an illusory vision of a perfect society. He was driven by the certain knowledge that when people of good faith and strong principles commit to making things better, we can change hearts, we can change minds, and we can change lives.

So, I urge you: keep going. Ignore the pundits, who think this is a horserace, not a fight for justice. My dad was a fighter. As a friend and a believer in my father’s words that injustice anywhere is a threat to justice everywhere, I say to you: keep going. Keep fighting. My father would be proud.

Martin L. King, III

John Edwards - Trial Lawyers and Corporate Lobbyists?

Monday, January 21, 2008

South Carolina Debate

John Edwards clearly won the South Carolina Black Congressional Caucus/CNN debate tonight. While Clinton and Obama bickered, Edwards talked about issues important to the people of the Palmetto state and America. He made it clear that fighting poverty, providing health insurance to all Americans and closing the gap between rich and poor are his top priorities, not getting into the bickering that has implemented so much gridlock in Washington. It is sad that the major news outlets have failed to provide Edwards with the coverage they have provided for Clinton and Obama. Edwards is a true progressive with the right ideas and agenda to get the country moving in the right direction. Though he has come up short in Iowa, New Hampshire and really short in Nevada, a win or second place showing in South Carolina can put Edwards into contention on Super Tuesday. Between Obama and Clinton, I have to swallow very hard and go with Obama. I do not believe that Clinton is electable first off. I don't think she can unite the base of the Democratic Party, I don't think she can attract Republicans or Independents and I don't think she can excite young people. As an influential First Lady, Hillary did nothing to stop the passage of NAFTA which has been a disaster, nothing to stop the passage of Welfare Reform. Before assuming the position of US First Lady, Clinton was a corporate attorney in Little Rock sitting on the Wal-Mart board. As a US Senator, Clinton had the stature to stand up to George Bush on the Iraq War, instead she stood with him. Clinton voted for the PATRIOT ACT in 2001 and renewal in 2006. If it boils down to Clinton vs Obama, Progressive Democrat's should keep in mind that Clinton has united with the DLC and has turned her back on Progressive values. I believe Obama can bring the country together in a way the polarizing Clinton cannot. She has even managed to alienate some Africa American voters with her divisive campaign against Obama. Clinton's top New Hampshire supporter Bill Shaheen has made an issue of Obama's past drug use as a teenager. Bill Clinton has called his campaign "a fairy tale". Clinton's campaign or supporters have even made an issue of his Kindergarten years. We might not know a lot about Obama but we know Hillary's record and it isn't Progressive.


From NBC/NJ's Tricia Miller COLUMBIA, SC –

As the lone white male candidate speaking, Edwards could have struggled at the NAACP's MLK Day rally. Instead, following Obama, he told the throng that he was proud of his competitors and referred to a speech he gave in Harlem almost exactly a year ago.

At that time, Edwards addressed Riverside Church, behind the same podium where Martin Luther King, Jr. had called for an end to the Vietnam War four decades earlier. The former North Carolina senator used that opportunity to call on Congress to pull troops out of Iraq.
Today, Edwards again delivered King's famous line. "[King] said there comes a time in all our lives where if we stand quiet, if we stand silent, when our conscience tells us to speak, that our silence is a betrayal. It is a betrayal of ourselves, it is a betrayal of our country that we love so much," Edwards said.

"Brothers and sisters, we can no longer stand silent. We have to speak out, and we must speak out together, as Barack said, in unity with one voice, and it is time for us to not remain silent about this war in Iraq. It is time for us to bring our men and women home from Iraq," he said to cheers from a crowd carrying almost exclusively signs bearing the names of his rivals.

In the rest of his nine-minute address, Edwards went on to talk briefly about poverty, the minimum wage, predatory lending, education, and universal health-care coverage. The rally was Edwards' first public appearance of the day, as he did not participate in the preceding prayer service and march to the capitol. And he will spend the rest of the day preparing for tonight's CNN/Congressional Black Caucus debate in Myrtle Beach.

Round-up of Daily Violence in Iraq - Monday 21 January 2008

The daily Iraqi violence report is compiled by McClatchy Newspapers Special Correspondents in Baghdad from police, military and medical reports. This is not a comprehensive list of all violence in Iraq, much of which goes unreported. It’s posted without editing as transmitted to McClatchy’s Washington Bureau.

Sunday, January 20, 2008


There is a great review in The Feb. 4th issue of The Nation by Nona Willis Aronowitz on the new book about the great Bella "How One Tough Broad From the Bronx Fought Jim Crow and Joe McCarthy, Pissed Off Jimmy Carter, Battled for the Rights of Women and Workers, Rallied Against War and for the Planet, and Shook Up Politics Along the Way" By Braun Levine and Mary Thom. Having grown up on the upper west side of New York I will never forget Bella. She was a true New Yorker, sometimes brash, sometimes loud but always speaking up for justice. We could use her in Congress now. Contrast her with the wimp, Nancy Pelosi. Bella would be screaming for impeachment. For those of us who got to know her and were fortunate enough to hear her speak on many occasions she will never be forgotten. As Ms. Aronowitz writes;

"Bella Abzug is the kind of hyphenate who will forever confuse librarians and archivists who attempt to label her, a woman who surpasses even Madonna as the queen of reinvention. She was a lawyer, a Congresswoman, an organizer, a feminist, a civil rights worker and an environmental activist: she had a hand and a voice in practically every major post-World War II political movement. Overflowing with rich and formidable adjectives, Bella Abzug tries to make sense of these many stages and sectors of Bella's life."

John Edwards - Oklahoma City Rally-1/18/08

It is a shame that form the beginning of this race the MSM virtually ignored John Edwards. This is obviously not coincidental since all of the networks and cable outlets (MSNBC, CNN) are owned by our largest corporations who obviously have no use for a candidate willing to speak the truth. This is a great speech and the reason the Democratic establishment has never supported John Edwards as well as why he has been ignored by the media whore such as Tim Russert and Tweety Bird Mattews. That said it remains imperative to support the Democratic candidate for President. Between Hillary and Obama I will swallow hard and go with Hillary. At least I know what she stands for while the same cannot be said for Obama who has been totally lacking in substance. He has also suggested that he is in favor of Tort Deform. Any trial Lawyer who is thinking of voting for him would be well advised to research some of his comments during his Senate campaign.

Friday, January 18, 2008

Humble Pie - I Don't Need No Doctor - 1971

Friday Night. Time for some real Rock and Roll and Steve Marriot Rocks.

Edwards Campaign Statement On Senator Obama's Comments On President Reagan

Chapel Hill, North Carolina – John Edwards for President campaign manager David Bonior released the following statement about Senator Obama's comments about President Reagan:

"Senator Obama was wrong -- frightfully so -- in using Ronald Reagan as an example of voters reaching for change. The breadth of change Ronald Reagan brought was crippling for millions of Americans with the two worst recessions since the Depression, a complete disregard for the rights of American labor, and tax cuts that lined the pockets of the richest Americans at the expense of fiscal sanity and the well-being of the most vulnerable in our society.

"Senator Obama may have been more interested in contrasting Reagan with Bill Clinton, but it shows particularly bad judgment to suggest this is the kind or even the breadth of change Americans want. Instead of lauding Ronald Reagan, Senator Obama would do better to remember that it was presidents like Teddy Roosevelt, Franklin Roosevelt or John F. Kennedy who helped move this country forward."

Edwards Statement On President Bush's Remarks On The Economy

Chapel Hill, North Carolina – John Edwards released the following statement today on President George Bush's remarks on the economy.

"Now that George Bush has finally joined the call for an economic stimulus package, the time for debate and delay is over. American families cannot wait any longer for swift and decisive action. After years of stagnant wages, the economy may be slipping into a recession and if we don't act now we may make our problems worse.

"The economic damage done by Bush and Cheney is deep and long-lasting, and the temporary tax cuts he proposes will not solve it alone. Making matters worse, his plan provides little or no help to some 50 million low-income and middle class families.

"To help middle class families get ahead over the long haul, we need to invest in a clean energy infrastructure that will create jobs now and pay economic dividends for decades to come. A helping hand to families facing foreclosure, states in the midst of budget crises, and long-term unemployed workers will cushion the blow to struggling families and prevent further economic damage. We must also guarantee universal and affordable health care and reverse the shift of the tax burden from the wealthy onto middle-class workers."

Since Edwards became the first presidential candidate to propose a specific stimulus package almost a month ago, there are more troubling signs about the economy. In December, the economy lost 14,000 private-sector jobs. The Dow Jones industrial average fell by more than 9 percent between January 1st and the close of markets yesterday. Some experts suggest that housing prices will fall by another 20 to 30 percent. Manufacturing activity is slowing and new housing starts are at their lowest level in 16 years.

John Edwards $7 Million 1 Day "Go For The Gold" FUNDRASIER

Edwards hits Obama on independent ads

(CNN) — John Edwards said Friday that Barack Obama needs to “speak up, if he really means what he says” about ending divisive politics and denounce a Nevada ad funded by an independent group that supports the Illinois senator’s presidential bid.

The spot, running on Spanish-language radio in the state, criticizes Hillary Clinton for a lawsuit filed by some of her Nevada supporters that had sought new restrictions workplace caucus sites this Saturday. The buy is funded by the Unite Here Campaign Committee on behalf of the Culinary Workers Union, which has endorsed Obama.

"Everyone pledged that this kind of divisive politics that divides the Democratic Party, and could divide America, would come to an end. Sen. Obama made that pledge, I was sitting five feet from him when he made it," Edwards told the crowd at a Nevada campaign event.

“And now it turns out that in the last 24 hours there's a radio ad, a malicious radio ad, attacking Sen. Clinton. That is exactly the kind of divisive politics. It's being run right here, in Las Vegas. I denounce it. This kind of ad, I don't care who's doing it — in this case it's Sen. Obama's supporters — but this sort of thing needs to stop.

Tom Petty - I Won't Back Down

This sought of sums up John Edwards. He's not backing down and won't when he is President.

What about John Edwards?

What is the difference between media perception and reality? Well, for the better part of a year the media has focused on 2 celebrity candidates.Even after beating one of the celebrity candidates in Iowa (hint, it was Hillary Clinton), the media focused on two. Even after poll after poll show competitive races in Nevada, South Carolina, and other states, the media focuses on two.Well, the reality is that there are 3 candidates, but only one who will fight to save the middle class and has led the field with the boldest agenda for change -- John Edwards.

Tuesday, January 15, 2008

Romney: 1 for 3

Mitt Romney wins Michigan tonight with 40% setting up a Republican Presidential race going into South Carolina Saturday. A McCain win in Michigan would of forced Romney to withdraw and would of made McCain all but the nominee and front runner going into South Carolina. Romney's win tonight in Michigan clearly puts the Republican nomination for President up for grabs.

It's a free for all on the GOP side from now until February 5th.

John Edwards - "Dime" Ad

A Vast Right-Wing Hypocrisy- Richard Mellon Scaife

A must read from Vanity Fair;

Richard Mellon Scaife, billionaire bankroller of conservative crusades, spent heavily to expose Bill Clinton’s “Troopergate” misbehavior. Now Scaife’s divorce from his second wife, Ritchie, is providing another unsavory saga—adultery! addiction! assault! dognapping!?!—as both parties let loose to V.F.
by Michael Joseph Gross February 2008

Monday, January 14, 2008

Obama takes narrow lead over Clinton in Nevada

RENO, Nevada (Reuters) - Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama took a small lead over rival Hillary Clinton in Nevada ahead of Saturday's caucus, the party's next contest, according to a poll released on Monday.

A Reno Gazette-Journal poll of 500 likely caucus goers found 32 percent favoring Obama, the junior senator from Illinois, 30 percent for Clinton, a senator from New York, and 27 percent for former Senator John Edwards of North Carolina.
With the poll's margin of error of 4.5 percentage points, it appeared that any of those three leading candidates could have a chance at the top prize in the Saturday caucus.

Sunday, January 13, 2008

I'm So Lonesome I Could Cry - Hank Williams Live Performance

Hank & Drifting Cowboys on live radio show.Mothers Best Flour Show, 1951. Hank was the greatest Country Music singer ever. More of his songs have been covered than those of any other writers of true country music.

Edwards set to 'fight' for S.C. win

From The Savannah Morning News;

ST. HELENA ISLAND, S.C. - Democratic presidential candidate John Edwards came out swinging Friday as he began a four-day tour through South Carolina.
The former North Carolina senator used the word "fight" at least 20 times during rousing remarks to about 200 people at Penn Center.
Stumping in his native state, Edwards railed against multibillion-dollar corporations, predatory lenders and Washington lobbyists.
"I have fought them, fought them, beat them, beat them, beat them, beat them, over and over again," he said, referring to both his political and legal careers.
"And I think we have to have that in a president of the United States."
In the immortal words of Yogi Berra "It isn't over till its over." When Edwards started this race he spoke often about transformational politics and in that he has succeeded. Both Obama and Clinton are now speaking about the influence of corporate power and corruption in Washington only because Edward's message has resonated with the Democratic base. Unfortunately it is doubtful that either of them will follow through if elected. The MSN has virtually ignored Edwards as they are owned by the very same corporate interests who Edwards is willing to take on. The fact is that Edwards is the only one of the three who would fight to bring about substantive change in Washington.

John Edwards - "Mill" Ad

Saturday, January 12, 2008

Federal Court Decision Gives Airlines Right to Discriminate

Statement of Michael Kirkpatrick, Attorney, Public Citizen

In a decision released Thursday, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the First Circuit in Boston has given air carriers a license to discriminate against passengers based upon their race or ethnicity.
In writing that safety takes precedence over civil rights, the court put its stamp of approval on racial profiling. We believe this decision opens the door for airlines to arbitrarily violate the rights of passengers.
The case, Cerqueira v. American Airlines, was brought by a passenger who was removed from an American Airlines flight, detained and questioned by the police, and refused service even after the police cleared him for travel.
In January 2007, a jury found that the airline had discriminated against John D. Cerqueira because of his “Middle Eastern” appearance and awarded him $400,000 in compensatory and punitive damages. The appellate court set aside the jury’s verdict, holding that a federal statute granting airlines the discretion to refuse passengers for safety reasons immunizes airlines from liability under the nation’s civil rights laws, even if the airline’s safety concerns are the product of racial profiling.
As Cerqueira’s counsel, we argued that there is no conflict between safety and civil rights because decisions based on racial profiling are irrational and cannot provide a legitimate basis for concluding that a passenger might be a security threat. The court of appeals disagreed, holding that “[r]ace or ethnic origin of a passenger may, depending on the context, be relevant information in the total mix of information raising concerns that transport of a passenger ‘might be’ inimical to safety.”
During the trial, a jury was asked to determine the motivation for the airline’s decision. The airline argued that had it acted out of a legitimate concern for safety; Cerqueira, a South Florida resident of Portuguese descent, argued that none of this would have happened had he not looked Middle Eastern. The jury sided with Cerqueira. We believe the court of appeals, in setting aside the jury verdict, essentially legalizes racial profiling in commercial air travel.
READ MORE about the case.

Friday, January 11, 2008

Giuliani slightly ahead of McCain in NY

A new poll shows former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani leading Arizona Senator John McCain 32%-29% in New York. Giuliani leads McCain by 3, only 3 percentage points in New York where he served as Mayor.

McCain leads by 4 points in upstate NY, McCain leads by 12 among voters 50 and older, McCain leads by 9 among moderates.

This nomination is McCain's to lose.

Thursday, January 10, 2008

Bill Richardson drops Presidential bid

New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson who really became a non factor in the Presidential primary after a fourth place showing in Iowa and New Hampshire dropped his Presidential bid today. Richardson had been hoping for a strong showing in Nevada but as one Richardson aide put it, "It wouldn't do us any good to get our ass kicked in Nevada".

Richardson has a very impressive resume of government service including a stints as a member of Congress, UN Ambassador, Energy Secretary and Governor. He will most likely make the Vice Presidential short list for the eventual Democratic nominee. He could also give Richard Holbrooke and Joe Biden some competition for Secretary of State in a Democratic administration.

One thing I do doubt is that Richardson will make a run for the US Senate against Tom Udall unless Udall agrees to step aside or polling shows Udall is a weak candidate.

Senator John Kerry to endorse Obama for President

2004 Democratic Presidential nominee and Massachusetts US Senator John Kerry will endorse Illinois Senator Barack Obama today in South Carolina, a state Obama currently leads the Democratic field in.

The New York Times reports that in his speech, Kerry "will argue that Mr. Obama represents the best prospect for uniting a divided country, aides to both men said, as well as transforming America's image around the world".

It's a shame Senator Kerry didn't throw his support behind his former running mate John Edwards who he believed in, in 2004. Some people just never cease to amaze me.

Saturday, January 5, 2008

John Edwards - "The Exception"

George Stephanopoulos praises John Edwards' performance in the WMUR debate

Obama leads in New Hampshire

A new Rasmussen Reports survey shows that Senator Barack Obama's win in Iowa has created a nice bounce going into New Hampshire. The first term Illinois Senator leads the Democratic field with 37%, Hillary Clinton who once held a 40 point lead in this crucial state trails with 27%, John Edwards lags behind in third with 19% and Bill Richardson trails with 8%.

Independents and Republicans can vote in the NH Democratic primary. It is apparent that Independents who went with John McCain in 2000 are now flocking to Barack Obama. This could hurt McCain's chances of beating Mitt Romney in a state that provides the only chance to stop Romney and could propel Obama to a huge victory over Clinton in a state she needs to win in order to remain formidable.

I keep hearing the argument that Bill Clinton finished third in Iowa in 1992, second in NH and still won the nomination and the Presidency. Keep in mind that was Bill Clinton, the Governor of Arkansas who entered the race in October of 1991 with little name recognition. Clinton was competing against Tom Harkin of Iowa, Harkin won Iowa with 76%, he was competing against Paul Tsongas of Massachusetts and Tsongas won his neighboring state. Hillary on the other hand is the former First Lady with more name ID that any candidate in either party, a two term US Senator from New York and no one in the Democratic field has home field advantage in Iowa and NH. To compare this race to 1992 is baseless. The fact is Hillary is in trouble and if she loses Tuesday, shes in big trouble.

Musgrove to oppose Wicker in Mississippi

Former Mississippi Democratic Governor Ronnie Musgrove has announced that he will oppose newly appointed Republican US Senator Roger Wicker in the November 2008 special election for the Senate seat vacated by Trent Lott.

Musgrove served one term as Lt. Governor before becoming the one term Governor of the state. Musgrove with his statewide name recognition will be a formidable candidate to oppose Wicker, at least the most formidable Democrat's can come up with in this Republican state.

Thursday, January 3, 2008

Dodd might be out

Senator Chris Dodd said "that he would be 'going to Hartford tomorrow' if he doesn't finish stronger then fourth place tonight", reported by the Politico.

The lineup tonight is Obama, Edwards, Clinton, Richardson, so I guess Dodd is headed home. It will be interesting to see who Dodd who could influence New Hampshire will endorse. Keep in mind that firefighters are backing Dodd and might go with his preferred candidate if he has one.

Barack Obama wins Iowa

Projections are that Barack Obama will win the Iowa Caucus tonight. Obama will win, John Edwards will finish second and Hillary Clinton will finish a close third.

This is a big disappointment for Edwards supporters and unfortunately I think John Edwards campaign is over tonight, without a win in Iowa, he really has no where to go. John has invested nearly five years in Iowa and I don't think second place will cut it. It's unfortunate because John represented the progressive wing and offered the best chance to change the way business is done in Washington.

The race is far from over but it is clearly Obama vs Clinton going into New Hampshire and Clinton is in trouble. Iowa will give Obama a bounce going into New Hampshire and Independents are leaning Obama's way. A win in New Hampshire with another win in South Carolina the week after could translate into trouble for Clinton.

The race is far from over and Feb. 5th states will keep Clinton in the race. Clinton is favored in a majority of Super Tuesday states including New York and California but an Obama win in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina could change the Super Tuesday outlook.

This is far from over but so far Obama is 1 for 1. For Edwards supporters such as myself, the Florida primary is Jan 29 and I have a few weeks to decide.

Huckabee wins Iowa

Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee wins the Iowa Caucus tonight setting up a Republican Presidential race.

Huckabee's win tonight takes away Romney's status as the leading candidate and propels John McCain in New Hampshire where McCain currently leads. A Romney win in Iowa would of given him a tremendous bounce in New Hampshire on Tuesday however a Huckabee win now all but guarantee's that McCain will win New Hampshire on Tuesday. Huckabee who favor's a national sales tax does not have a chance in the "Live Free, Die Free" state but a McCain win in NH could help Huckabee with social conservatives in South Carolina and Florida.

Romney is not out but finishing second in Iowa, second in New Hampshire won't cut it. This is a major win for Huckabee, the momentum is with Huckabee and McCain tonight.

Wednesday, January 2, 2008

Who Do We Vote For This Time Around? A Letter from Michael Moore

January 2, 2008


A new year has begun. And before we've had a chance to break our New Year's resolutions, we find ourselves with a little more than 24 hours before the good people of Iowa tell us whom they would like to replace the man who now occupies three countries and a white house.
Twice before, we have begun the process to stop this man, and twice we have failed. Eight years of our lives as Americans will have been lost, the world left in upheaval against us... and yet now, today, we hope against hope that our moment has finally arrived, that the amazingly powerful force of the Republican Party will somehow be halted. But we know that the Democrats are experts at snatching defeat from the jaws of victory, and if there's a way to blow this election, they will find it and do it with gusto.

Do you feel the same as me? That the Democratic front-runners are a less-than-stellar group of candidates, and that none of them are the "slam dunk" we wish they were? Of course, there are wonderful things about each of them. Any one of them would be infinitely better than what we have now. Personally, Congressman Kucinich, more than any other candidate, shares the same positions that I have on the issues (although the UFO that picked ME up would only take me as far as Kalamazoo). But let's not waste time talking about Dennis. Even he is resigned to losing, with statements like the one he made yesterday to his supporters in Iowa to throw their support to Senator Obama as their "second choice."

So, it's Hillary, Obama, Edwards -- now what do we do?

Two months ago, Rolling Stone magazine asked me to do a cover story where I would ask the hard questions that no one was asking in one-on-one interviews with Senators Clinton, Obama and Edwards. "The Top Democrats Face Off with Michael Moore." The deal was that all three candidates had to agree to let me interview them or there was no story. Obama and Edwards agreed. Mrs. Clinton said no, and the cover story was thus killed.

Why would the love of my life, Hillary Clinton, not sit down to talk with me? What was she afraid of?
Those of you who are longtime readers of mine may remember that 11 years ago I wrote a chapter (in my first book) entitled, "My Forbidden Love for Hillary." I was fed up with the treatment she was getting, most of it boringly sexist, and I thought somebody should stand up for her. I later met her and she thanked me for referring to her as "one hot s***kicking feminist babe." I supported and contributed to her run for the U.S. Senate. I think she is a decent and smart person who loves this country, cares deeply about kids, and has put up with more crap than anyone I know of (other than me) from the Crazy Right. Her inauguration would be a thrilling sight, ending 218 years of white male rule in a country where 51% of its citizens are female and 64% are either female or people of color.

And yet, I am sad to say, nothing has disappointed me more than the disastrous, premeditated vote by Senator Hillary Clinton to send us to war in Iraq. I'm not only talking about her first vote that gave Mr. Bush his "authorization" to invade -- I'm talking about every single OTHER vote she then cast for the next four years, backing and funding Bush's illegal war, and doing so with verve. She never met a request from the White House for war authorization that she didn't like. Unlike the Kerrys and the Bidens who initially voted for authorization but later came to realize the folly of their decision, Mrs. Clinton continued to cast numerous votes for the war until last March -- four long years of pro-war votes, even after 70% of the American public had turned against the war. She has steadfastly refused to say that she was wrong about any of this, and she will not apologize for her culpability in America's worst-ever foreign policy disaster. All she can bring herself to say is that she was "misled" by "faulty intelligence."

Let's assume that's true. Do you want a President who is so easily misled? I wasn't "misled," and millions of others who took to the streets in February of 2003 weren't "misled" either. It was simply amazing that we knew the war was wrong when none of us had been briefed by the CIA, none of us were national security experts, and none of us had gone on a weapons inspection tour of Iraq. And yet... we knew we were being lied to! Let me ask those of you reading this letter: Were YOU "misled" -- or did you figure it out sometime between October of 2002 and March of 2007 that George W. Bush was up to something rotten? Twenty-three other senators were smart enough to figure it out and vote against the war from the get-go. Why wasn't Senator Clinton?

I have a theory: Hillary knows the sexist country we still live in and that one of the reasons the public, in the past, would never consider a woman as president is because she would also be commander in chief. The majority of Americans were concerned that a woman would not be as likely to go to war as a man (horror of horrors!). So, in order to placate that mindset, perhaps she believed she had to be as "tough" as a man, she had to be willing to push The Button if necessary, and give the generals whatever they wanted. If this is, in fact, what has motivated her pro-war votes, then this would truly make her a scary first-term president. If the U.S. is faced with some unforeseen threat in her first years, she knows that in order to get re-elected she'd better be ready to go all Maggie Thatcher on whoever sneezes in our direction. Do we want to risk this, hoping the world makes it in one piece to her second term?

I have not even touched on her other numerous -- and horrendous -- votes in the Senate, especially those that have made the middle class suffer even more (she voted for Bush's first bankruptcy bill, and she is now the leading recipient of payoff money -- I mean campaign contributions -- from the health care industry). I know a lot of you want to see her elected, and there is a very good chance that will happen. There will be plenty of time to vote for her in the general election if all the pollsters are correct. But in the primaries and caucuses, isn't this the time to vote for the person who most reflects the values and politics you hold dear? Can you, in good conscience, vote for someone who so energetically voted over and over and over again for the war in Iraq? Please give this serious consideration.

Now, on to the two candidates who did agree to do the interview with me...

Barack Obama is a good and inspiring man. What a breath of fresh air! There's no doubting his sincerity or his commitment to trying to straighten things out in this country. But who is he? I mean, other than a guy who gives a great speech? How much do any of us really know about him? I know he was against the war. How do I know that? He gave a speech before the war started. But since he joined the senate, he has voted for the funds for the war, while at the same time saying we should get out. He says he's for the little guy, but then he votes for a corporate-backed bill to make it harder for the little guy to file a class action suit when his kid swallows lead paint from a Chinese-made toy. In fact, Obama doesn't think Wall Street is a bad place. He wants the insurance companies to help us develop a new health care plan -- the same companies who have created the mess in the first place. He's such a feel-good kinda guy, I get the sense that, if elected, the Republicans will eat him for breakfast. He won't even have time to make a good speech about it.

But this may be a bit harsh. Senator Obama has a big heart, and that heart is in the right place. Is he electable? Will more than 50% of America vote for him? We'd like to believe they would. We'd like to believe America has changed, wouldn't we? Obama lets us feel better about ourselves -- and as we look out the window at the guy snowplowing his driveway across the street, we want to believe he's changed, too. But are we dreaming?

And then there's John Edwards.

It's hard to get past the hair, isn't it? But once you do -- and recently I have chosen to try -- you find a man who is out to take on the wealthy and powerful who have made life so miserable for so many. A candidate who says things like this: "I absolutely believe to my soul that this corporate greed and corporate power has an ironclad hold on our democracy." Whoa. We haven't heard anyone talk like that in a while, at least not anyone who is near the top of the polls. I suspect this is why Edwards is doing so well in Iowa, even though he has nowhere near the stash of cash the other two have. He won't take the big checks from the corporate PACs, and he is alone among the top three candidates in agreeing to limit his spending and be publicly funded. He has said, point-blank, that he's going after the drug companies and the oil companies and anyone else who is messing with the American worker. The media clearly find him to be a threat, probably because he will go after their monopolistic power, too. This is Roosevelt/Truman kind of talk. That's why it's resonating with people in Iowa, even though he doesn't get the attention Obama and Hillary get -- and that lack of coverage may cost him the first place spot tomorrow night. After all, he is one of those white guys who's been running things for far too long.

And he voted for the war. But unlike Senator Clinton, he has stated quite forcefully that he was wrong. And he has remorse. Should he be forgiven? Did he learn his lesson? Like Hillary and Obama, he refused to promise in a September debate that there will be no U.S. troops in Iraq by the end of his first term in 2013. But this week in Iowa, he changed his mind. He went further than Clinton and Obama and said he'd have all the troops home in less than a year.

Edwards is the only one of the three front-runners who has a universal health care plan that will lead to the single-payer kind all other civilized countries have. His plan doesn't go as fast as I would like, but he is the only one who has correctly pointed out that the health insurance companies are the enemy and should not have a seat at the table.

I am not endorsing anyone at this point. This is simply how I feel in the first week of the process to replace George W. Bush. For months I've been wanting to ask the question, "Where are you, Al Gore?" You can only polish that Oscar for so long. And the Nobel was decided by Scandinavians! I don't blame you for not wanting to enter the viper pit again after you already won. But getting us to change out our incandescent light bulbs for some irritating fluorescent ones isn't going to save the world. All it's going to do is make us more agitated and jumpy and feeling like once we get home we haven't really left the office.

On second thought, would you even be willing to utter the words, "I absolutely believe to my soul that this corporate greed and corporate power has an ironclad hold on our democracy?" 'Cause the candidate who understands that, and who sees it as the root of all evil -- including the root of global warming -- is the President who may lead us to a place of sanity, justice and peace.
Michael Moore (not an Iowa voter, but appreciative of any state that has a town named after a sofa)

Tuesday, January 1, 2008

Iowa: New TV Spot Featuring Edwards' Supporter Doug Bishop

Second Choices Give Edwards Clear Lead in Iowa

From Taegan Goddard's Political Wire;

An InsiderAdvantage tracking poll in Iowa shows a statistical tie between Sen. Hillary Clinton and John Edwards in the Democratic presidential race with Sen. Barack Obama starting to lag.Clinton leads with 30%, followed by Edwards at 29%, and Obama at 22%, with 14% committed to other candidates and 5% undecided. The poll has a margin of error of 3.4%.Important finding: Edwards was the second choice of 62% of those who supported other candidates that did not receive the required 15% of the vote. Clinton was the second choice of 21% and Obama of 17%."Using the reallocation methodology InsiderAdvantage used in 2004 – which correctly indicated a fairly comfortable win for John Kerry – our new poll reveals that, if the caucuses were held today, the reallocated final outcome would be: Edwards 41%, Clinton 34% and Obama 25%."